After a satisfyingly successful 22-game regular season, the 2020 WNBA playoffs are here! Who are the contenders? Who could cause trouble? In short, who will win the Wubble?
For many, the idea of a 2020 WNBA season was an unwise, unnecessary experiment during a global pandemic that seemed destined to end in disappointment, if not disaster.
All credit to the WNBA, especially the players, for making this season an undoubted success.
Not only have teams fought through on-court adversity, but they’ve also sought to fight against off-court inequalities.
To a previously unprecedented degree, WNBA players have used their platform to speak out in a unified voice against the many forms of discrimination that people who look like the women of the WNBA continue to encounter. They repeatedly said the name of Breonna Taylor and other Black women killed by police. They cleverly combatted the bigotry of Kelly Loeffler. They together walked out because of the emotional burdens of being Black in America in 2020.
All the while, they turned in some fantastic performances, highlighted by a return to MVP form from Stewie and a rise to MVP form from A’ja. Fans also got to witness throwback seasons from Angel and CP3, more records for Big Syl, DT3 and Sloot, a surprise ROTY candidate in CD, high-upside efforts from the Unicorn and Hollywood, unexpected improvement from Betnijah and Myisha, Arike doing Arike things and more.
And now the playoffs arrive, a crucible that begins tonight with the first of two do-or-die single-elimination rounds.
Entering the postseason, here’s a look at where the eight remaining teams stand and which teams are most likely to remain standing.
No. 1-seed Las Vegas Aces
It seems insane to suggest that the absences of Liz Cambage and Kelsey Plum have been inconsequential, but the Aces have secured the top seed without them.
Re-installed at the center of the Aces’ offensive system, A’ja Wilson has emerged as a leading MVP candidate. A revitalized Angel McCoughtry has proved a perfect complementary star, strategically attacking on offense and making plays on defense. Off the bench, the Aces are boosted on both ends by Dearica Hamby and a more aggressive Jackie Young.
The Aces also have untapped potential.
Head coach Bill Laimbeer insists upon bringing Hamby and Young off the bench, thereby ensuring that the Aces dominate second-unit minutes. However, Laimbeer did make a playoff lineup adjustment last season, inserting Plum into the starting lineup and allowing us to enjoy “Playoff Plum.” This year, might we get “Playoff Young?”
No. 2-seed Seattle Storm
At midseason, the fully-stocked Storm — the only team that did not suffer absences due to COVID-19, social justice or personal concerns — looked like a juggernaut.
Since then, the Storm have been great, but not dominant.
The health status of Sue Bird is critical for Seattle. In 2018, the Storm would not have won the championship without Masked Sue Bird. The veteran savvy and sharpshooting of the longtime legend eases the offensive load on Breanna Stewart, who, while still an MVP candidate, has not been as undeniable of late.
While the Storm do have a deep, experienced team, with this depth headlined by 2019 Defensive Player of the Year Natasha Howard and 2020 Defensive Player of the Year candidate Alysha Clark, the Storm’s ultimate potential sits with Sue and Stewie. That’s a heavy burden for two players who missed all of the 2019 season due to injuries.
No. 3-seed Los Angeles Sparks
The Sparks are categorized as a “challenger” not only due to their 0-4 record against the Aces and Storm, but also because they have to play a risky single-elimination game.
The health of Sydney Wiese and Nneka Ogwumike is also a concern for the Sparks. Wiese, the Sparks’ best 3-point shooter, has been sidelined with a nasty ankle sprain, while the WNBPA President recently missed time with back tightness. Critically, LA lacks reliable big depth.
Thus, Candace Parker must maintain her MVP-level play, not only continuing to do the little things that go beyond the box score but also filling the box score with points, boards, blocks, steals and assists.
Another must is that Chelsea Gray has to find her Point Gawdiness. After a poor shooting start to the 2020 season, Gray steadily found her stroke, although her increased field goal percentage came with a slightly decreased number of attempts. To go far in the postseason, LA needs Gray to take and make more shots.
Fortunately for LA, Riquna Williams and Brittney Sykes are also capable of igniting. And don’t be surprised if Seimone Augustus, bolstered by a wealth of high-leverage playoff experience, hits some big, mid-range Money Mone shots.
No. 4-seed Minnesota Lynx
Even after the loss of Sylvia Fowles, the Lynx surprisingly remained one the WNBA’s most successful teams led by the young UConn duo of 2019 Rookie of the Year Napheesa Collier and likely 2020 Rookie of the Year Crystal Dangerfield.
One sign of concern is that the Lynx’s trademark defense surrendered triple-digit point totals in two of their final four games. Luckily, one of the best defensive players in WNBA history is expected to return to the team. With Fowles back patrolling the paint, the Lynx have the potential to make real trouble for the top title contenders.
The integration of Odyssey Sims also raises the Lynx’s ceiling. Although it is unlikely she returns to her 2019 All-WNBA level of play, the new mom has begun to find her footing. In Minnesota’s six September games, Sims shot 52.8 percent from the field and 46.2 percent from 3-point range, good for an average of 13 points per game. Plus, if Lexie Brown returns to the court after experiencing concussion symptoms, the Lynx will be even more dangerous.
No. 5-seed Phoenix Mercury
Of course Diana Taurasi, one of the best postseason performers in WNBA history, can cause trouble in the playoffs.
"Every single workout I end the same way with a Kobe game-winner. Three hard dribbles going right, left foot plant pivot, swing right leg through, elevate, square up, follow through... It's that exact same shot that won us a championship in Phoenix in 2014." - Diana Taurasi pic.twitter.com/ue5TqYAoLr— Phoenix Mercury (x) (@PhoenixMercury) September 12, 2020
More importantly, the Mercury have coalesced into a more consistent and cohesive team. Taurasi has led the way and Skylar Diggins-Smith has been playing some of the best ball of her career.
Brianna Turner, who has blossomed into one of the best boardwomen in the game, has also been a huge factor. She averaged 13.8 rebounds per game over the last seven games, the best mark in the WNBA.
So even though the Mercury remain shorthanded without Brittney Griner and Bria Hartley it won’t be surprising if Taurasi and company shoot, score and board their way past the Mystics and into an upset win or two.
No. 7-seed Connecticut Sun
The Sun had reason to be unfazed by their 0-5 start to the 2020 season. Over the last 15 games, they have gone 9-6, tied for the fourth-best record in the WNBA during that span.
And still, it seems that we have not seen the Sun’s fastball.
If the Sun’s foursome of DeWanna Bonner, Alyssa Thomas, Briann January and Jasmine Thomas is completely healthy, they form a fearsome defense that can stymie the Sky and any opponent thereafter. The Sun can then turn that defense into offense with A. Thomas tornadically tearing down the court for a transition bucket.
There is also a reason the Sun prioritized the offseason addition of Bonner, who can enter into an unstoppable offensive mode, hitting absurdly deep shots, winding her long, strong frame to the hoop or drawing the foul to get to the line.
While A. Thomas and Bonner might play 43 minutes each (even though games are only 40 minutes long), the Sun will likely need a player outside their core four to step up and both Kaila Charles and Natisha Hiedeman showed some promise down the stretch of the regular season.
The Long Shots
No. 6-seed Chicago Sky
While Kahleah Copper and Cheyenne Parker have raised their play, establishing themselves as part of Chicago’s core, the losses of Azurá Stevens and Diamond DeShields still puts significant pressure on Courtney Vandersloot and Allie Quigley. Vandersloot, the WNBA’s assist queen, put the valuable in MVP this season as she was absolutely critical to the Sky’s success.
Oodles of assists from Sloot could not prevent the Sky’s late-season stumbles, but her talents still give Chicago hope. If the Sky manage to best the Sun and advance in the playoffs, expect to see a starry stat line from Vandersloot.
No. 8-seed Washington Mystics
Throughout an up-and-down season — from a stunning start to a shorthanded slog in the middle of the season to a fabulous finish — the Mystics have refused to go down without fight.
Myisha Hines-Allen, a little-used reserve on the 2019 championship team, not only serves as the spirited heart and soul of the squad but also has emerged as a legitimate star, turning in an unexpected All-WNBA-caliber season.
Hines-Allen’s uniqueness as a player — a bruising-yet-smooth point-forward who can score inside or outside and create for others — gives DC an advantage in many matchups, including their first-round contest against Phoenix.
In addition, Ariel Atkins brings significant playoff experience to the table for Washington and there’s also the possibility of a “Playoff Emma” sighting. Last season, Meesseman assumed a more aggressive offensive mindset in the postseason, increasing her shot attempts, scoring and efficiency.