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Through Wednesday’s Matches. Georgia’s been knocked down to bubble status after their RPI fell below #40.

Cheat Sheet After The Jump:

Active At-Large Pool (33): Boston University, Dayton, La Salle, Richmond, Duke, Virginia, Wake Forest, Florida State, Oklahoma State, Texas A&M;, Texas, Missouri, West Virginia, Notre Dame, Louisville, Georgetown, Penn State, Illinois, Michigan State, UC Irvine, Long Beach State, William & Mary, Memphis, Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Central Michigan, Florida, Tennessee, Auburn, Alabama, Denver, Pepperdine, Santa Clara, San Diego

Eliminated Bubble Pool (13): Miami (FL), NC State, Oregon State, Cal, Washington State, Portland, BYU, Iowa, Texas Tech, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Georgia, Kansas

Eliminated Lock Pool (11): North Carolina, Boston College, Maryland, Virginia Tech, Marquette, UCLA, LSU, Baylor, Kentucky, South Carolina, UCF

Auto-Bid Pool (2/30): Stanford, Harvard

Alabama – Did the unthinkable and should reap the rewards. Can’t see them being left out for Georgia at this point.
Boston University – Probably needs to win the auto bid. May be OK with loss if bubble doesn’t contract.
BYU – Probably cooked. Has to beat St. Mary’s (CA), hope for others’ misfortune.
Cal – Probably in. Obviously in with result against Stanford.
Central Michigan – Needs to get to the final. Still shaky without auto bid.
Dayton – Probably in.
Denver – Probably needs the auto bid.
Georgetown – Probably in unless bubble contracts severely.
Georgia – Will probably be holding the bag if SEC only gets 7 teams. Can’t see them in over Bama.
Iowa – Lost to Michigan State. Almost definitely out.
Kansas – Eliminated in shootout. Looking like a tentative thumbs up.
La Salle – Might need one win but still probably safe either way.
Long Beach State – Might be in with a win. Fortunes improving as San Diego does.
Louisville – Probably in.
Miami (FL) – Should be in selection committee follows own guidelines.
Michigan State – Advanced via shootout but still needs to make the final. Bad profile.
Missouri – Draw doesn’t really help them much. Probably needs to beat Texas A&M.;
NC State – Results going against them. Probably down to around 10% chance right now.
Ohio State – I’d guess 60/40 at this point. Win against WVU saves their bacon.
Oregon State – Probably in. Definitely in if they don’t lose to Oregon.
Portland – Probably in if they get to .500. Good non-conference wins.
Richmond – Might make it if they reach final beating Dayton/La Salle along the way, losing to other.
San Diego – Probably in.
Texas – Part one accomplished, probably still needs a result against OSU.
Texas Tech – Lost to Texas. Dunzo.
Washington State – Must beat Washington.
William & Mary – Needs one win, might need the auto bid.
Wisconsin – Likely played their way out tonight. Would guess somewhere between 10-20% chance.

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