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America East

Bubble Tier C – Boston University

The Terriers return to the Watch for a cameo after extending their winning streak to eight matches with two more wins this past week. More importantly, BU clinched at least a share of the America East title on their way out the door, and can claim it all by themselves with just a point against New Hampshire on Sunday. Despite the hot streak as of late, there’s just no path to the NCAA Tournament for them, which is a shame as they look to clearly be the class of the league this year.

Atlantic 10

Bubble Tier B – La Salle, Dayton
Bubble Tier C – Charlotte

The bubble in the A10 continues to thin out as the season moves forward, with the league struggling for any real serious contenders for an at-large berth in all likelihood. La Salle likely wrapped up the league title with their win against title rivals Charlotte last Sunday. It kept the Explorers perfect in the league and on a nine match winning streak. A win at West Virginia in the season opener would likely give La Salle a great shot at an at-large bid if they were high enough in the RPI, but there’s not much upside remaining on their schedule, meaning the auto bid will be by far their safest option for the Big Dance. Dayton won their lone league game of the week in handy fashion against Xavier, but the Flyers don’t figure to get a look without the auto bid thanks to their lack of quality results this season. Charlotte likely had eyes on a potential league title going into last weekend, having begun the season with four straight wins in the league but dropped a close one to La Salle. They don’t have much on their profile either and will likely disappear from the Watch after this week, but they still remain a threat for the auto bid through the likely very competitive A10 Tournament. Gone from the Watch this week are Butler, who drew at Richmond before losing to VCU, and UMass, who had a shocking weekend, losing on the road to Saint Joseph’s and Temple, which sent them under .500 for the season.

ACC

Lock – Florida State, North Carolina, Duke, Wake Forest, Virginia
Bubble Tier A – Virginia Tech, Boston College, Maryland
Bubble Tier C – Miami (FL)

Not much has changed in the big picture in the ACC, which figures to have eight clubs in the NCAA Tournament barring a miracle run by Miami (FL), but where those eight clubs end up could be a real talking point, with movement all around this weekend. Florida State kept up their winning pace and remain perfect on the season and continue to look good for a #1 seed. Given the sheer number of quality wins, it looks like it’d take something dramatic for them to miss out on a top seed. The big question is if anyone else in the league can make a run for a top seed…or really any high national seed. North Carolina would look best placed on paper, especially with Duke and Wake Forest still on the schedule. The Heels may be hitting their stride at the right time too, having won four of their last five. Duke is hot on their heels ahead of their league finale against the Chapel Hill side this Thursday. A win would certainly ease the burden ahead of them going into the ACC Tournament. The Blue Devils do have what looks to be an ill-advised match against Francis Marion on Sunday though, which may end up doing a little damage to their RPI. Wake Forest saw their hopes of a #1 seed diminish with the draw against Duke over the weekend but could still make up some ground for a high national seed with a strong finish against North Carolina and Virginia Tech before the conference tournament. Virginia’s up and down form in the league continued this weekend with a dominant win over Miami (FL) before a heartbreaking defeat to Florida State. They’d have to finish on fire for a high national seed, but the Cavs look to be well positioned for a lower national seed if they don’t fall apart down the stretch. It gets considerably more interesting from there. Virginia Tech has seen their RPI erode with just two wins in seven games, with only one of those coming in the lead. The Hokies aren’t in any real bubble trouble, but a national seed could be beyond them at this point if they don’t spring an upset somewhere along the line. Similarly, Boston College’s poor form as of late has also submarined their RPI. The Eagles have won just two of seven themselves, with their lone win their last five coming against a hapless NC State side. The slipping results mean that BC will probably need an upset or two to get themselves back into the mix for a national seed. Maryland’s a picture of contrast right now. Near the top of the ACC but struggling to get into the mix for a national seed. The Terps didn’t seem to do their cause any harm by beating Boston College this past week, but the club’s non-conference slips could come back to haunt them in their search for that national seed. They’ve certainly shown an ability to beat the big teams, and they may have to keep beating them for the next few weeks if they want to rise back up the rankings. Miami (FL) used a late surge last season to make the NCAA Tournament despite missing the ACC Tournament, but the Hurricanes probably won’t be that fortunate should they miss out this season. The Hurricanes probably need to win two of their final three to have a chance, but if they get on the bubble, they’ll be all but in, thanks in no small part to their earlier win over Florida.

Big XII

Lock – Baylor
Bubble Tier A – West Virginia, Texas Tech
Bubble Tier B – Texas
Bubble Tier C – Oklahoma State

Baylor looks to still be in a position to contend for a national seed, but if they fall short, will they look back and rue this past weekend? The Bears drew with both West Virginia and Oklahoma State on the road, both solid results, but the former could be looked back upon as a great chance at a statement win spurned. Baylor’s probably not going to have a chance for such a chance again until the Big XII Tournament, and the two draws probably killed their hopes for a league title at any rate. West Virginia remains on the top bubble line for another week, but they’ll probably get bumped up to lock status soon enough. A draw with Baylor broke a seven game winning streak, though the club’s unbeaten streak now runs to eleven games. WVU will still be hoping for a strong finish to potentially move into national seed territory. Despite a rather dubious matchup with Francis Marion, Texas Tech moves up a line with a weekend sweep, with the win at Texas meaning more than expected in all likelihood. There’s not a lot of meat on the schedule that’s left for TTU, but as long as the Red Raiders avoid an implosion down the stretch, that long NCAA Tournament duck is going to be broken this year. After a horrendous start, Texas has improbably clawed their way back onto the bubble with a strong Big XII season. There’s probably not enough on the profile right now to warrant an at-large bid, and the Horns still have to finish at .500, though. Still, UT could do it with two wins in their final three regular season games, considering they have Baylor and West Virginia left on the docket. Oklahoma State kept their head above water with a draw against Baylor, that could end up putting them over the top if they get on the bubble. Problem is, they look to be a long way away from that at the moment and probably need to win their last two regular season games and maybe a game or two in the Big XII Tournament to even get a sniff. Kansas suffered through a spectacular meltdown over the weekend, losing at both Oklahoma and Texas to send their RPI spiraling downward. The Jayhawks have now won one in six and look to be well out of the bubble picture, thus disappearing from the Watch.

Big East

Lock – Georgetown
Bubble Tier A – Notre Dame, Marquette
Bubble Tier B – Rutgers, Louisville, South Florida

Georgetown finally wrapped up their lock status for the NCAA Tournament with two more wins over the weekend, also wrapping up their divisional title in the Big East in the process. The Hoyas claiming the league’s full title will likely come down to goal differential between them and Marquette on the final matchday this weekend. The club’s nine match unbeaten run has also put them in contention for a national seed, though they still may need a win or two in the conference tournament to lock that up. Notre Dame still has a sliver of a chance of a national seed, but they’re probably going to need a deep run into the Big East Tournament after their loss to the Hoyas over the weekend. Despite that defeat, the Irish are still plenty good for the NCAA Tournament right now and will be focusing on putting together a strong postseason run now. Marquette’s edged their way towards the right side of the bubble with their long unbeaten run and two wins this past weekend, but they’ll probably want to beat South Florida in their regular season finale just to be sure. If they don’t they could still potentially be vulnerable if they get beaten by one of the league’s lesser lights in the conference tournament opener. Rutgers is right behind Marquette in the RPI and actually looks in better shape than the Golden Eagles given their earlier win over Ohio State. Beating Seton Hall in the regular season finale will probably be enough, even if they go down early in the Big East Tournament. Louisville is riding a pretty fine tightrope at the moment and really could have used a win against Rutgers on Friday. They do have a draw against Georgetown, but their fate could depend on how large the bubble is and who’s on it with them if they can’t win a game or two in the Big East Tournament. South Florida’s technically still in it, but their profile is incredibly vacuous at the moment, and it’s difficult envisioning them making it into the field without a string of wins down the stretch. Toppling Marquette on Saturday would be a great first step, but they might still need more. UConn’s fizzled horribly down the stretch, with a four game winless streak, including defeat at Pittsburgh, decisively ending their at-large hopes.

Big Ten

Lock – Penn State, Michigan, Ohio State
Bubble Tier B – Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, Iowa

Penn State continue their march towards yet another Big Ten title and will have a chance to lift the title on Sunday against title rivals Michigan in University Park. Much more interesting from a long-term standpoint is PSU’s quest for a #1 seed, which appears to be a head-to-head duel with BYU at the moment. The Nittany Lions have a great profile, including a slew of big wins, but if the clubs are close together in the rankings come Selection Monday, their head-to-head loss to the Cougars could be decisive. Two more home wins against some of the league’s middle of the road sides sealed Michigan into lock status, but the finishing kick is murderous with Ohio State and Penn State on the road this weekend. Even if Michigan can pull off the upset on Sunday, they’d still have to hold serve at home in the regular season finale against Illinois. The Wolverines are right on the borderline for a national seed though, so a strong finish would be desirable. Ohio State are in the same boat but with a much easier run-in, though that may end up working against them, with much less margin for error if OSU wants a national seed. They might have to run the table in the regular season’s closing weeks or win a game or two in the Big Ten Tournament if they struggle down the stretch. Minnesota may have a good ranking in the RPI, but their profile is pretty weak, meaning they may need to finish big to get above the line of scrutiny in the rankings, or net an upset in the Big Ten Tournament. At this point, the club can’t afford a slip in what looks to be a very doable closing stretch of the regular season. Wisconsin’s probably got more of a cushion thanks to a win over Notre Dame and a draw against Ohio State, but they probably want to take care of business down the stretch in case the bubble contracts. The Badgers have what looks to be a fairly perfunctory run-in, though the finale on the road against Iowa could be tricky. Illinois’ is backpedaling in a hurry but may be saved by their win against Ohio State earlier in the season. Defeats to Minnesota and Wisconsin have plunged the Illini into the danger zone though, and they really need to beat both Northwestern and Nebraska this weekend to feel safe going into the final weekend of the regular season, while also being aware that they’re just a game over .500 right now. Iowa’s got to be more than a little jumpy at this point having not won in five games. The club does have a priceless draw with Michigan to help them out, but their form has been wretched recently. The Hawkeyes really need to turn it around this weekend against Nebraska and Northwestern. Gone from the Watch are Purdue, who’ve now lost three straight by shutout after defeats to Indiana and Michigan, along with Michigan State, who essentially saw their own at-large hopes snuffed out after two one-goal defeats at the hands of Michigan and Indiana this past week.

Big West

Bubble Tier A – Long Beach State
Bubble Tier C – UC Irvine, Cal State Northridge

After a jittery start to the league campaign, Long Beach State got the ship righted last weekend, with two wins on the road over some of the league’s strugglers, which was necessary for them to not drop further in the RPI. A national seed might be beyond them at this point, but they’d probably have to lose all their games from this point on to be in any real danger. It’s not quite so rosy for the league’s other two at-large contenders. UC Irvine started out the week in winning fashion, but a draw with UC Davis really hurt their chances. Their profile isn’t exactly glittering at this point, with the Anteaters likely to lose out to most potential bubble rivals in comparison. They probably have to run the table in the regular season’s final few weeks before at least getting to the final in the Big West Tournament. Cal State Northridge will be a hotly debated team if they can finish strong. With a win over Michigan and draws against Tennessee and Portland, the Matadors would seemingly be a shoo-in if they can just get onto the bubble. That’s far from a guarantee though, with a draw against Cal Poly over the weekend not helping matters. The final weekend on the road against UC Irvine and Long Beach State will be crucial. CSUN has to go perfect against Pacific and UC Davis this weekend though for them to stay on the bubble though.

Colonial

Bubble Tier B – UNC Wilmington
Bubble Tier C – Hofstra, William & Mary

UNC Wilmington’s endured a roller coaster league season that lurched back upwards this past week with another win to get the Seahawks back into the at-large bid discussion. UNCW will almost assuredly make it in the Big Dance if they’re on the bubble thanks to a draw with Wake Forest, but the club’s slow start to league play had some thinking they might not even make the CAA Tournament. They look to be back on the right track again and have a very easy run-in, meaning they should at least seal postseason qualification with ease. How much it takes to get on the bubble is up in the air though, but you’d think they might need at least one win in the CAA Tournament at any rate. Hofstra’s also still technically in the mix, though their win over Ohio State probably doesn’t count as much as UNCW’s draw with Wake Forest, and the Pride are a little further back in the RPI hierarchy. They could sneak onto the bubble with a late run in the league and a win or two in the CAA Tournament. It’s all gone horribly wrong for William & Mary, who essentially saw their hopes go up in smoke during a lost weekend with road defeats to Delaware and Drexel. Even if the Tribe had some more meat on their profile, they look too far back to hope for anything but a chance to win the league’s auto bid. Drexel departs from the Watch after a bad loss to Old Dominion, which came a few days before their upset over William & Mary.

Conference USA

Lock – UCF
Bubble Tier B – Colorado College, Memphis, SMU

UCF’s Conference USA title hopes likely went by the wayside with a defeat, their third of the league season, to Colorado College on Friday. The Golden Knights are still essentially a lock at this point, but their recent slips are really undermining their hopes for a national seed, especially with some of the league’s lesser lights likely to weight their RPI down a bit in the coming weeks. With nobody else in the conference really able to give them a boost either, the Golden Knights might be stuck where they are in the RPI, even if they finish up strong. Colorado College certainly didn’t do their cause any harm with a win against UCF, but they’re still not out of the woods by any imagination. If the bubble contracts, they could be out of the mix entirely, so they need to keep winning. Problem is, there may not be much room for upside from their current standing if they can’t pick up a big win or two in the Conference USA Tournament. Their profile is pretty good though, so they might just sneak in if they end up on the bubble with the right mix of teams. Memphis is sinking like the Titanic at the moment, having lost three in a row after having previously not lost a league game in over two years. While the Tigers do have that win against UCF to tout, they’ve slipped so far in the last few weeks that they wouldn’t even be on the bubble if the season ended today. They need a strong finish and likely some wins in the C-USA Tournament. SMU is another club banking on their win over UCF pushing them over the top come the end of the season. But the Mustangs also have more ground to make up than Memphis and may need to win their final three regular season games in order to avoid making a deep run into the C-USA Tournament. Coincidentally, SMU and Memphis play each other Sunday in what could be a bubble eliminator. Rice are the new title favorites after beating Memphis and seeing others slip, but the Owls don’t appear to be an at-large threat at the moment, meaning they’ll have to do it all over again to make it to the Big Dance.

Ivy

Bubble Tier B – Dartmouth
Bubble Tier C – Princeton

Improbably, Dartmouth could be in the frame for an at-large bid. The Big Green don’t really have a profile to speak of, with their biggest win coming over South Florida, but their numbers in the RPI are very good at the moment. If the club can win out, a very doable proposition if they beat Boston University on Wednesday night, they might just be able to rise above the zone of selection committee scrutiny. The problem is, if they fall into that zone, they don’t have a prayer thanks to the aforementioned lack of quality results. The league title’s probably going Princeton’s way, however. The Tigers already have beaten Dartmouth head-to-head in the league and have a decent run-in. Like the Big Green though, they don’t really have much on the profile, so if they collapse down the stretch, an at-large bid isn’t coming, with the Tigers being so far back in the RPI at the moment.

MAC

Bubble Tier A – Central Michigan
Bubble Tier C – Miami (OH)

Central Michigan is still in a pretty good position to make the Big Dance at the moment, but their eyes are likely on the league this weekend, as Miami (OH) comes to town in a likely de facto MAC title game. The Redhawks are three points ahead in the standings, but CMU can overhaul them for top spot with a win on Friday. The Chippewas can probably avoid a slip with a win over West Virginia and draw against Marquette on their non-conference slate, but they probably don’t want to chance anything. Winning out could open up a potential hosting opportunity for a first round game as well. Miami (OH)’s a considerably longer shot, with the Redhawks having not even played a team in the uRPI Top 100 yet! Beating CMU would help their case, but in all likelihood, it’s still auto bid or bust for the upstart MAC side.

Mountain West

Lock – San Diego State

San Diego State took a giant step towards wresting the Mountain West title out of New Mexico’s hands with a pair of away wins over the weekend. With weak Wyoming and Air Force clubs coming to town this weekend, it’s entirely possible the title race will be a wrap before the Aztecs host UNM on the last day of the regular season. There’s still plenty to play for though, even with SDSU well into lock status. The Aztecs are very high in the RPI right now and could seal a high national seed if they keep winning until Selection Monday. I don’t think they have the profile for a #1, but a #2 could certainly be within reach, especially if their rivals for that high national seed slip in the meantime.

Pac-12

Lock – Stanford, UCLA
Bubble Tier A – Washington, Cal, Utah, Oregon State
Bubble Tier B – Arizona State, Washington State
Bubble Tier C – Arizona

Same as it ever was at the top in the Pac-12. The Card had just a single game this past weekend, taking down Arizona in convincing fashion to remain #1 in the overall RPI. The Card have lost a little of their advantage over Florida State, but they are still a clear #1 at this point and will almost assuredly be a #1 seed come the NCAA Tournament. UCLA also looks set to maintain their unbeaten league run en route to a likely winner takes all showdown against Stanford on October 28 in Westwood. The Bruins also look on course for a #1 seed come the NCAA Tournament barring a major collapse. Washington continues to do just enough to stay in the top bubble tier but can’t nail that one last win to bump them up to lock status. Not that most were expecting them to get anything out of their lone match of the weekend against UCLA, which ended in narrow defeat. It doesn’t get any easier this weekend, with trips to Cal and Stanford. If UW can get a result, it should wrap up a berth for them, and they might need one to have hopes of a national seed as well. Cal’s profile isn’t overwhelming, but they’ve been good enough in the league to rise to the top tier of the bubble. Their game against Washington could be a winner-gets-lock status game. The Golden Bears don’t appear strong bets for a national seed, but they could get in the conversation at least with an upset over the league’s big two in the final weeks of the season. Utah’s win over Oregon probably doesn’t seem like much on its face, but it’s bumped them up a line at the least. With their wins over BYU and Washington, the Utes are looking pretty good for a berth right now, but they’ll probably want to still finish strong against a doable run-in to erase any lingering doubt. Oregon State remains in a decent position, but their win over Portland is slowly becoming devalued given the Pilots’ recent struggles. They also have a win over Utah, but the Beavers probably want to win three of their remaining five games to just make sure of their spot in the field. Arizona State’s in a bind after a loss to Cal over the weekend put them two games under .500. A win over Pepperdine earlier in the year almost assures them of a spot in the field if they’re at .500 and on the bubble, but while ASU looks good on the second count, they’ve got to be lights out down the stretch to get to .500. Washington State, as was the case last year, is basically riding on the hopes that one draw against an elite team will get them into the field. In this case, their tie with UCLA serves them well, but they still have to be good enough to be on the bubble as well. In that regard, the club’s win over USC over the weekend will certainly help. Arizona’s still technically in the bubble mix thanks to Stanford boosting their SOS despite a 4-1 defeat to the Card. In all likelihood, the Wildcats will disappear from the Watch this weekend if they can’t sweep the Oregon schools. Departing the Watch this weekend are Colorado, who’ve now lost five in a row in the league, and Oregon, whose loss to Utah over the weekend sees them bounced from the bubble picture.

Patriot

Bubble Tier C – Colgate

Colgate continues to stubbornly hang on to the end of the Watch, though its days could be numbered this week. The Raiders’ top of the table clash with Navy ended in a draw, meaning the title could come down to goal differential if neither slips up down the stretch. In that regard, Colgate enjoys a healthy lead at the moment, though much could change with three rounds remaining in league play.

SEC

Lock – Florida, Texas A&M, Missouri, Tennessee
Bubble Tier A – Kentucky
Bubble Tier B – Ole Miss, Auburn
Bubble Tier C – Arkansas

Little has changed at the top of the SEC since the last update of the Watch. Florida won their title showdown with Missouri in Gainesville and looks well on course to the league title with just three games against some of the league’s strugglers remaining. The Gators remain in the mix for a high national seed and even have an outside shot at a #1 seed if they can just keep winning. Also finishing up with a perfect weekend is Texas A&M, who pounded Arkansas and Vanderbilt on the road and remain well placed for a national seed. With games against Tennessee and Missouri left, a winning finish could boost them up to a potential #2 seed, if they can also impress in Orange Beach. A #1 seed does look beyond them though. Missouri’s defeat to Florida was a real blow to their title hopes and hopes of a high national seed. They likely need to beat Arkansas and LSU this weekend to stay in a position for a national seed and may need to get something against Texas A&M and/or go on a run in Orange Beach if they’re to move up in the RPI hierarchy. Tennessee’s defeat to Kentucky was a pretty big blow to their national seed hopes, but the Lady Vols saved a little face on Sunday by beating LSU in extra time. Getting anything in College Station against Texas A&M on Friday would be a big boost for their hopes, especially with what seems like little other room to move upward for the rest of the regular season. Kentucky’s in RPI limbo right now. A win over Florida and draw with Texas A&M means they’ll be in the field if they slip onto the bubble, but there’s very little upside remaining in the league season for them. The goal now might be getting into the league’s Top Six to ensure themselves of a first round bye in Orange Beach with a chance to log an upset or two there. Ole Miss has now won three in a row to boost their once ailing hopes, but their resume doesn’t look good in comparison to other bubble teams’, meaning there’s still plenty of work to be done. They really could use three more wins down the stretch, but getting a point at least from Tennessee on Sunday could be crucial. Auburn really shot themselves in the foot with their Sunday loss to Arkansas. The Tigers don’t have a great profile in their favor and really need to win their final three games in the regular season to boost their chances. Auburn’s also now just a game over .500, which could spell trouble if they can’t finish strong. Arkansas kept itself alive for a brief moment with their win over Auburn. The Lady Razorbacks have wins over Kentucky, Tennessee, and now Auburn, but they’re also a game under .500 and still have room to make up in the RPI. If they beat Missouri on Friday though, things could get very interesting. A lot of the league’s pretenders were cleared off the bubble this past weekend, with Alabama, LSU, Vanderbilt, and Georgia all falling off the Watch after two-loss weekends.

Southland

Bubble Tier B – Stephen F. Austin

Stephen F. Austin continues to climb steadily in the RPI thanks to their long string of league wins, but their profile just doesn’t warrant an at-large bid if they fail to win the Southland’s auto bid. That, of course, looks quite unlikely, with the club having not conceded a goal in league play thus far. Then again, that’s what we all thought before last year’s shocking loss to Texas State in the Southland Tournament final. SFA will want to keep winning, even if the league title already looks in the bag. You’d hope that if the Ladyjacks keep stringing together wins, they’d be able to avoid a highly seeded side like Texas A&M in the opening round.

Sun Belt

Bubble Tier C – Middle Tennessee State, North Texas

It’s as you were in the Sun Belt, with Middle Tennessee State and North Texas on course for a title decider on Thursday in Denton. The Blue Raiders come in with the advantage, having strung together a perfect 8-0-0 record up to this point in the league. Victory on Thursday would wrap up the title for MTSU, though that’s going to be a very big ask going into notoriously hostile territory. North Texas would have a good case for an at-large bid if they got on the bubble thanks to a draw with Baylor, but defeat to TCU and a draw with Florida International could prove costly. The Mean Green will take over top spot in the league with a win on Thursday, but the title would be far from decided, with UNT enduring a tough trip to Western Kentucky on Sunday if they want to lift the silverware in the Sun Belt.

WAC

Bubble Tier A – Denver

Denver remains behind Utah State in the WAC table, but they’ve also got a couple games in hand. The clubs drew in their regular season meeting a few weeks ago, meaning it could all come down to goal differential, where you’d expect the Pioneers to have a slight advantage. The club’s marquee win against Portland is looking less impressive by the week though, so Denver probably wants to keep winning to avoid the bubble, just in case. Dropping a result against anyone but Utah State or Louisiana Tech in the WAC Tournament could spell very bad news for the Pioneers’ NCAA Tournament ambitions, while dropping points in the remaining regular season games could be just as damaging.

WCC

Lock – BYU, Santa Clara, Pepperdine
Bubble Tier A – Portland
Bubble Tier B – San Diego
Bubble Tier C – Loyola Marymount

BYU notched two wins last week to keep their eyes set on a WCC title, running their unbeaten streak to twelve games. The Cougars’ win over Portland was vital for their hopes of a #1 seed, as they try and fight off Penn State and others for the coveted distinction. Running the table from here on out is a distinct possibility and could get them that #1, though trips to San Diego and Pepperdine could be tricky to say the least. Santa Clara’s defeat to Pepperdine likely ends its hopes at a #1 seed, though the Broncos are still in the mix for a #2, which would give it a shot at hosting rights on the second weekend. They might have to win their remaining five games though, though that certainly looks doable, with toughest tests San Diego and Portland both traveling there to play the Broncos. Pepperdine has now won five in a row after their drubbing at UCLA’s hands, including four games by a single goal. The Waves are getting hot at just the right time and are now in the hunt for a national seed. Tricky trips to San Diego and Portland await, but they get title rivals BYU at home in what could be a massive game for both clubs, with both WCC and NCAA implications. Portland’s no longer a lock after five games without a win. The Pilots are now just two games over .500 and could be vulnerable if they continue their struggles. They should be fine, with a win over North Carolina and a draw against Notre Dame on their resume, but their hopes for a national seed appear to have taken a substantial hit as of late, while they may also find their hopes of even hosting a first round game have been diminished. San Diego are suddenly bak in the bubble picture with four straight wins after four straight losses. The Toreros have a win over Texas A&M that should be money in the man if they get on the bubble and are at .500. That’s a big ‘if’ though, considering they have the league’s top four clubs still to play. USD’s in form though, and you wouldn’t count them out after last year’s late revival. Loyola Marymount pops back into the Watch after beating Saint Mary’s this past weekend. The Lions are still far away from the bubble though, which is a shame, considering they’d probably make it into the field if they got there, given their draw against UCLA.

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