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NCAA Soccer – Final 2013 NCAA Tournament Field Projection

posted by All White Kit
Monday, November 11, 2013 at 9:09am EST

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First, major thinks to Chris Thomas for all his work in working with the data and cranking these projections out. You owe it to yourself to check out his encyclopedic knowledge of the RPI here if you haven’t already.

Bubble ranking after the jump, along with a pretty important note. Mock bracket coming later tonight.

Final Projected Field:

AMERICA EAST (1) – UMBC
AAC (4) – UCF, Louisville, Rutgers, South Florida
ATLANTIC 10 (1) – La Salle
ACC (7) – Virginia, Florida State, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Duke, Notre Dame
ATLANTIC SUN (1) – Jacksonville
BIG XII (3) – West Virginia, Texas Tech, Oklahoma State
BIG EAST (4) – Marquette, Georgetown, DePaul, Saint John’s (NY)
BIG SKY (1) – Weber State
BIG SOUTH (1) – Liberty
BIG TEN (8) – Nebraska, Michigan, Penn State, Minnesota, Iowa, Indiana, Wisconsin, Ohio State
BIG WEST (1) – Cal State Fullerton
COLONIAL (1) – Northeastern
CONFERENCE USA (1) – Colorado College
HORIZON (1) – Wisconsin-Milwaukee
IVY (1) – Harvard
MAAC (1) – Monmouth
MAC (1) – Western Michigan
MISSOURI VALLEY (1) – Illinois State
MOUNTAIN WEST (1) – San Diego State
NORTHEAST (1) – Saint Francis (PA)
OHIO VALLEY (1) – Morehead State
PAC-12 (5) – UCLA, Washington State, Stanford, Utah, Cal
PATRIOT (1) – Boston University
SEC (7) – Florida, South Carolina, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia
SOUTHERN (1) – Furman
SOUTHLAND (1) – Southeastern Louisiana
SWAC (1) – Jackson State
SUMMIT (1) – Denver
SUN BELT (1) – South Alabama
WAC (1) – Seattle
WCC (3) – Portland, Santa Clara, BYU

Bubble Order Ranking

1. Oklahoma State
2. Utah
3. Arkansas
4. Wisconsin
5. South Florida
6. Cal
7. Ohio State
8. Georgia
-
9. Colorado
10. Boston College
11. Penn
12. Texas
13. William & Mary
14. James Madison
15. Stephen F. Austin

I’d say we’re pretty certain about #1-63. Which means it’s basically down to Georgia and Colorado for the final spot. Georgia has the better result against teams already selected. Colorado has the better results against common opponents. Colorado also plays in the tougher conference according to the RPI. You can see which way we went here, but we’re not going to be shocked if Colorado makes it in over Georgia either.

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